13 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1577
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1505
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)