14 Jul · 09:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1487
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1617
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 64% (70)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+130
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)