14 Jul · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1410
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1508
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 64% (72)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H72-85
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)