14 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cibik
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1410
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (54)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)