14 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1508
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rolik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 64% (72)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.