14 Jul · 13:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1304
FormLLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1508
FormWLLWW
34%
66%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 64% (72)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+204
H2H37-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-13)