14 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1563
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1638
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H74-97
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)