14 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1488
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sturma
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1377
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (30)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)