14 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1481
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chlad
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1377
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)