14 Jul · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1377
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1487
FormLWLLW
41%
59%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (34)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)