14 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1568
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Drozdz
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1545
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.