14 Jul · 13:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1503
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1631
FormLLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H114-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (114-52)