14 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1570
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H68-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-47)