14 Jul · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1563
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1536
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Moravec stays under total as favourite 78% (18)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.