14 Jul · 23:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1662
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vorisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1624
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (75)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H173-143
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.