14 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1819
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vesecky
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1786
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Vanek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (55)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H11-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.