14 Jul · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AH
🇨🇿Ales Hanl
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1624
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
🌟Stusek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (55)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+136
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)