14 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Muska
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1467
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Muska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)