14 Jul · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1677
FormWLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Lengal
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1467
FormWLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+210
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)