14 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1508
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1602
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)