14 Jul · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lengal
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1664
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)