15 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1638
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hnizdil
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1571
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)