15 Jul · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1642
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Zacharda
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)