15 Jul · 09:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1461
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)