15 Jul · 12:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1296
FormWLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 65% (74)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+182
H2H38-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-14)