15 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1410
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1521
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H20-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-8)