15 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1571
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Srnka
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1461
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)