15 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1634
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zacharda
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1642
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H17-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.