15 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1410
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 65% (74)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H72-86
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)