15 Jul · 10:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1638
FormWWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Hnizdil
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1461
FormLLLLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+177
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)