15 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1521
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolik🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (89)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.