15 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1608
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zacharda
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1642
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Fiklik stays under total as underdog 63% (126)
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.