15 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1608
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1634
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Fiklik stays under total as underdog 63% (126)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H31-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.