15 Jul · 10:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1606
3-0Final setsSrnka won
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1629
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Hnizdil at 52%. The actual result was Jan Srnka 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Tomas Hnizdil favoured — closing 1.72
Total 75.5
54 points played
Set handicap
Tomas Hnizdil −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Tomas Hnizdil −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Srnka is favoured to win, below means Tomas Hnizdil.
▲ Jan Srnkapre 44% → final 99%
Tomas Hnizdil ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsSrnka recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games