15 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1527
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pokorny
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1536
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H13-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.