15 Jul · 13:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1506
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1630
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (65)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+124
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)