15 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chvatal
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H4-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)