15 Jul · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1522
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.