15 Jul · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pawlik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.