15 Jul · 17:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1548
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Varecka
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1444
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
🌟Sochor stays under total as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)