15 Jul · 16:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1514
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hendrych
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1444
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
⚡ Cover lean · Hendrych🌟Sochor stays under total as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)