15 Jul · 22:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1664
FormWWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sarganek
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1455
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+209
H2H33-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-22)