15 Jul · 22:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1416
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dusek
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Dusek covers set handicap as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Dusek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H56-90
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.