15 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1622
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1592
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (31)
Fair odds · Kowal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H22-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.