15 Jul · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1444
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sochor
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1473
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Sochor stays under total as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.