15 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1461
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Juhasz
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1531
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hula🌟Hula goes over total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Juhasz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)