15 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1486
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krcil
AK
🇨🇿Ales Krcil
ELO 1549
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 68% (65)
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)