15 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1477
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Juhasz
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1531
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Juhasz goes over total as favourite 73% (30)
Fair odds · Juhasz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.