15 Jul · 17:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1473
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hendrych
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1514
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Sochor goes over total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.