15 Jul · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1531
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Juhasz🌟Juhasz covers set handicap as underdog 86% (22)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.